Election 2018 Polls: A Divided Congress?

By Michael Gryboski, Mainline Church Editor Monday, October 15, 2018

House

The Democrats have seen their chances of regaining control of the House of Representatives increase considerably compared to last week, according FiveThirtyEight.

In data updated on Monday morning, the site gave the Democrats an 81.3 percent chance of regaining control of the House, versus an 18.7 percent chance that the Republicans will retain.

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This is a sharp increase in support for the Democrats compared to last week, when FiveThirtyEight gave them a 73.6 percent chance of regaining control of the lower house and the GOP a 26.4 percent chance to keep control.

RealClearPolitics' "Battle for the House 2018" map, accessed Monday, gave Democrats 205 seats, Republicans 200 seats, and listed 30 as "toss-ups."

This is a slight increase for the Republicans from last week, when RCP had them with 198 seats, and a considerable increase compared to three weeks ago, when RCP had them with 189 seats.